- Type High resolution energy demand model
- Creator Iain Staffell Richard Green
- DOI 10.1016/j.energy.2017.12.051
- Keywords coverage-europe energy demand resolution-1h
- Version 1.0
- URL https://wiki.openmod-initiative.org/wiki/DESSTinEE
What problem it solves
DESSTINEE (Demand for Energy Services, Supply and Transmission in EuropE) is a model of the European energy system in 2050. The model is designed to test assumptions about the technical requirements for energy generation and transport, particularly for electricity, and the scale of the economic challenge to develop the necessary infrastructure. Forty countries are considered in Europe and North Africa and 10 forms of primary and secondary energy.
DEESTINEE consists of three modules: a scenario generator, a demand profile builder and an electricity market simulator. This note relates to the first and second modules.
The first is a scenario generator which calculates annual energy demand by vector and sector, for each country. It takes inputs for macro-economic variables (such as population and economic growth) and the sectorial technology penetration (such as improvements in building envelope, shares of heat pumps and electrification of the transport fleet) to estimate the 2050 annual demand for each energy vector (coal, oil, natural gas, biofuels, electricity, etc.). Inputs for several predefined scenarios from literature (e.g. the IEA Energy Technology Perspectives, Global Energy Assessment, European Commission scenarios for the Paris Agreement) have been incorporated in the model.
The second module focuses on electricity demand. It produces current and future hourly power profiles based on the annual electricity demand, estimated by Module 1.
Inputs
- Growth in population and GDP per capita,
- Activity levels and fuel basket for different final energy uses,
- Efficiency increases across sectors (industrial production, building envelope, conventional and electric vehicles, heat pumps and air conditioners),
- Penetration of new technologies (heat pumps, air conditioners, hybrid, electric and hydrogen vehicles),
- Heating and cooling degree days, and thermal and cooling comfort indices.
- Daily electricity consumption patterns for: electric vehicle charging, commercial buildings, heating, cooling and appliances in households, rail and other transport.
Outputs
- Sectorial and fuel disaggregated final energy consumption at national granularity for2050,
- Fossil CO2 emissions,
- Hourly electricity profiles.